Most publications by Dan are listed below and at least recently, most of other lab members. However, we are certainly missing some other pubs done by people in the lab. Student authors (grad and undergrad) when the work was done are shown in bold; postdocs in italics. These include students and postdocs in our lab as well as others.


  • Louthan AM, Doak DF, Angert AL. In press. Where and when do species interactions set range limits? Trends in Ecology and Evolution.
  • Estes JA, Burdin A, Doak DF. In press. Sea otters, kelp forests, and the extinction of Steller sea cow. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
  • Villellas J, Doak DF, García MB, Morris WF. In press. Demographic compensation among populations: what is it, how does it arise, and what are its implications? Ecology Letters
  • Yandow LH, Chalfoun AD, Doak DF. In press. Climate tolerances and habitat requirements jointly shape the elevational distribution of the American pika (Ochotona princeps) with implications for climate change effects. PLOS One.
  • Dibner R, Lombardi E, Doak DF. In press. An ecological engineer maintains consistent spatial patterning, with implications for community-wide effects. Ecosphere.
  • Pardo I, Doak DF, García-González R, Gómez D, García MB. 2015. Long-term response of plant communities to herbivore exclusion at high elevation grasslands. Biodiversity and Conservation doi: 10.1007/s10531-015-0996-3. PDF
  • Raventós J, González E, Mújica E, Doak DF. 2015. Population Viability Analysis of the Epiphytic Orchid Dendrophylax lindenii. Biotropica. PDF
  • Doak DF, Himes Boor GK, Bakker VJ, Morris WF, Louthan A, Morrison SA, Stanley A, Crowder L. 2015. Recommendations for Improving Recovery Criteria under the US Endangered Species Act. Bioscience 65:189-99. PDF
  • Pironon S, Villellas J, Morris WF, Doak DF, García MB. 2014. Do geographic, climatic or historical ranges differentiate the performance of central versus peripheral populations? Global Ecology and Biogeography doi: 10.1111/geb.12263 PDF


  • Doak DF, Cutler K. 2014. Van Manen et al. doth protest too much: new analyses of the Yellowstone Grizzly population confirm the need to reevaluate past population trends. Conservation Letters 7:332–333. PDF
  • Doak DF, Bakker VJ, Goldstein BE, Hale B. 2014. Moving forward with effective goals and methods for conservation: a reply to Marvier and Kareiva. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 29:132-133. PDF
  • Doak DF, Morris WF. 2014. Life and Times of Alaska's Tundra Plants: How Long Do They Live, and How Are They Responding to Changing Climate? Alaska Park Science 12. Link
  • Louthan AM, Doak DF, Goheen JR, Palmer TM, Pringle RM. 2014. Mechanisms of plant – plant interactions: concealment from herbivores is more important than abiotic-stress mediation in an African savannah. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 281:20132647. PDF
  • Doak DF, Bakker VJ, Goldstein BE, Hale B. 2014. What is the future of conservation? Trends in Ecology & Evolution 29, 77–81. PDF


  • Doak DF, Cutler K. 2013. Re-evaluating evidence for past population trends and predicted dynamics of Yellowstone grizzly bears. Conservation Letters. PDF
  • Doak DF, Bakker VJ, Vickers W. 2013. Using Population Viability Criteria to Assess Strategies to Minimize Disease Threats for an Endangered Carnivore. Conservation Biology 27, 303–314. PDF
  • Loso MG, Doak DF, Anderson RS. 2013. Lichenometric dating of Little Ice Age glacier moraines using explicit demographic models of lichen colonization, growth, and survival. Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography PDF
  • Louthan AM, Doak DF, Goheen JR, Palmer TM, Pringle RM. 2013. Climatic stress mediates the impacts of herbivory on plant population structure and components of individual fitness. Journal of Ecology 101, 1074-1083 PDF


  • Shriver RK, Cutler K, Doak DF. 2012. Comparative demography of an epiphytic lichen: support for general life history patterns and solutions to common problems in demographic parameter estimation. Oecologia 70, 137–146. PDF
  • Finkelstein ME, Doak DF, George D, Burnett J, Brandt J, Church M, Grantham J, Smith DR. 2012. Lead poisoning and the deceptive recovery of the critically endangered California condor. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109, 11449–11454. PDF


  • Monson DH, Doak DF, Ballachey BE, Bodkin JL. 2011. Could residual oil from the Exxon Valdez spill create a long-term population “sink” for sea otters in Alaska? Ecological Applications 21, 2917–2932. PDF
  • Maclean JE, Goheen JR, Doak DF, Palmer TM, Young TP. 2011. Cryptic herbivores mediate the strength and form of ungulate impacts on a long-lived savanna tree. Ecology 92, 1626–1636. PDF
  • Conway-Cranos LL, Doak, DF. 2011. Sampling errors create bias in Markov models for community dynamics: the problem and a method for its solution. Oecologia 167, 199–207. PDF
  • Novak M, Wootton JT, Doak DF, Emmerson M, Estes JA, Tinker MT. 2011. Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity. Ecology 92, 836–846. PDF


  • Mooers AO, Doak DF, Findlay CS, Green DM, Grouios C, Manne LL, Rashvand A, Rudd MA, Whitton J. 2010. Science, Policy, and Species at Risk in Canada. BioScience 60, 843–849. PDF
  • Doak DF, Morris WF. 2010. Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts. Nature 467, 959–962. PDF
  • Palmer TM, Doak DF, Stanton ML, Bronstein JL, Kiers ET, Young TP, Goheen JR, Pringle RM. 2010. Synergy of multiple partners, including freeloaders, increases host fitness in a multispecies mutualism. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107, 17234–17239. PDF
  • Pringle RM, Doak DF, Brody AK, Jocqué R, Palmer TM. 2010. Spatial Pattern Enhances Ecosystem Functioning in an African Savanna. PLoS Biololgy 8. PDF
  • Fox-Dobbs K, Doak DF, Brody AK, Palmer TM. 2010. Termites create spatial structure and govern ecosystem function by affecting N2 fixation in an East African savanna. Ecology 91, 1296–1307. PDF
  • Finkelstein ME, Doak DF, Nakagawa M, Sievert PR, Klavitter J. 2010. Assessment of demographic risk factors and management priorities: impacts on juveniles substantially affect population viability of a long-lived seabird. Animal Conservation 13, 148–156. PDF
  • Linares C, Doak DF. 2010. Forecasting the combined effects of disparate disturbances on the persistence of long-lived gorgonians: a case study of Paramuricea clavata. Marine Ecology Progress Series 402, 59–68. PDF
  • Brody AK, Palmer TM, Fox-Dobbs K, Doak DF. 2010. Termites, vertebrate herbivores, and the fruiting success of Acacia drepanolobium. Ecology 91, 399–407. PDF
  • Wolf SG, Snyder MA, Sydeman WJ, Doak DF, Croll DA. 2010. Predicting population consequences of ocean climate change for an ecosystem sentinel, the seabird Cassin's auklet. Global Change Biology 16, 1923–1935. PDF
  • Finkelstein ME, Wolf S, Goldman M, Doak DF, Sievert PR, Balogh G, Hasegawa H. 2010. The anatomy of a (potential) disaster: Volcanoes, behavior, and population viability of the short-tailed albatross (Phoebastria albatrus). Biological Conservation 143, 321–331. PDF


  • Estes JA, Doak DF, Springer AM, Williams TM. 2009. Causes and consequences of marine mammal population declines in southwest Alaska: a food-web perspective. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 364, 1647–1658. PDF
  • Bakker VJ, Doak DF. 2009. Population viability management: ecological standards to guide adaptive management for rare species. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7, 158–165. PDF
  • Bakker VJ, Doak DF, Roemer GW, Garcelon DK, Coonan TJ, Morrison SA, Lynch C, Ralls K, Shaw R. 2009. Incorporating Ecological Drivers and Uncertainty into a Demographic Population Viability Analysis for the Island Fox. Ecological Monographs 79, 77–108.PDF
  • Estes JA, Doak DF, Springer AM, Williams TM, van Vliet GB. 2009. Trend data do support the sequential nature of pinniped and sea otter declines in the North Pacific Ocean, but does it really matter? Marine Mammal Science 25, 748–754. PDF


  • Tinker MT, Doak DF, Estes JA. 2008. Using demography and movement behavior to predict range expansion of the southern sea otter. Ecological Applications 18, 1781–1794. PDF
  • Doak DF, Estes JA, Halpern BS, Jacob U, Lindberg DR, Lovvorn J, Monson DH, Tinker MT, Williams TM, Wootton JT, Carroll I, Emmerson M, Micheli F, Novak M. 2008. Understanding and predicting ecological dynamics: are major surprises inevitable? Ecology 89, 952–961. PDF
  • Morris WF, Pfister CA, Tuljapurkar S, Haridas CV, Boggs CL, Boyce MS, Bruna EM, Chruch DR, Coulson T, Doak DF, Forsyth S, Gaillard JM, Horvitz CC, Kalisz S, Kendall BE, Knight TM, Lee CT, Menges ES. 2008. Longevity can buffer plant and animal populations against changing climatic variability. Ecology 89, 19–25. PDF
  • Springer AM, Estes JA, van Vliet GB, Williams TM, Doak DF, Danner EM, Pfister B. 2008. Mammal-eating killer whales, industrial whaling, and the sequential megafaunal collapse in the North Pacific Ocean: A reply to critics of Springer et al. 2003. Marine Mammal Science 24, 414–442. PDF
  • Bolger DT, Newmark WD, Morrison TA, Doak DF. 2008. The need for integrative approaches to understand and conserve migratory ungulates. Ecology Letters 11, 63-77. PDF


  • Linares C, Doak DF, Coma R, Díaz D, Zabala M. 2007. Life history and viability of a long-lived marine invertebrate: the octocoral Paramuricea clavata. Ecology 88, 918–928. PDF
  • Agrawal AA, Ackerly DD, Adler F, Arnold AE, Cáceres C, Doak DF, Post E, Hudson PJ, Maron J, Mooney KA, Power M, Schemske D, Stachowicz J, Strauss S, Turner MG, Werner E. 2007. Filling Key Gaps in Population and Community Ecology. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 5, 145–152. PDF
  • Doak DF, Bakker V, Finkelstein M, Sullivan B, Lewison R, Keitt B, Arnold J, Croxall J, Micheli F, Sanjayan M. 2007. Compensatory mitigation for marine bycatch will do harm, not good. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 5, 350–351.PDF


  • Tinker MT, Doak DF, Estes JA, Hatfield BB, Staedler MM, Bodkin JL. 2006. Incorporating Diverse Data and Realistic Complexity into Demographic Estimation Procedures for Sea Otters. Ecological Applications 16, 2293–2312. PDF
  • Elderd BD, Doak DF. 2006. Comparing the direct and community-mediated effects of disturbance on plant population dynamics: flooding, herbivory and Mimulus guttatus. Journal of Ecology 94, 656–669. PDF
  • Inouye BD, Underwood N, Doak DF, Kareiva P. 2006. Interviewing for Academic Jobs. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 87, 155–158. PDF
  • Gross K, Morris WF, Wolosin MS, Doak DF. 2006. Modeling vital rates improves estimation of population projection matrices. Population Ecology48, 79–89. PDF


  • Loso MG, Doak DF. 2005. The biology behind lichenometric dating curves. Oecologia 147, 223–229. PDF
  • Donlan CJ, Knowlton J, Doak DF, Biavaschi N. 2005. Nested communities, invasive species and Holocene extinctions: evaluating the power of a potential conservation tool. Oecologia 145, 475–485. PDF
  • Doak DF, Morris WF, Pfister C, Kendall BE, Bruna EM. 2005. Correctly estimating how environmental stochasticity influences fitness and population growth. The American Naturalist 166, E14-21. PDF
  • Doak DF, Gross K, Morris WF. 2005. Understanding and predicting the effects of sparse data on demographic analyses. Ecology 86, 1154–1163. PDF


  • Forbis TA, Doak DF. 2004. Seedling establishment and life history trade-offs in alpine plants. American Journal of Botany 91, 1147–1153. PDF
  • Morris WF, Doak DF. 2004. Buffering of life histories against environmental stochasticity: accounting for a spurious correlation between the variabilities of vital rates and their contributions to fitness. The American Naturalist, 163, 579–590. PDF
  • Doak DF, Loso MG. 2004. Effects of grizzly bear digging on alpine plant community structure. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 35, 421–428. PDF
  • Gerber LR, Tinker MT, Doak DF, Estes JA, Jessup DA. 2004. Mortality sensitivity in life-stage simulation analysis: a case study of southern sea otters. Ecological Applications 14, 1554–1565. PDF
  • Forde SE, Doak DF. 2004. Multitrophic interactions mediate recruitment variability in a rocky intertidal community. Marine Ecology Progress Series 275, 33–45. PDF
  • Estes JA, Danner EM, Doak DF, Konar B, Springer AM, Steinberg PD, Tinker MT, Williams TM. 2004. Complex trophic interactions in kelp forest ecosystems. Bulletin of Marine Science 74, 621–638. PDF


  • Springer AM, Estes JA, van Vliet GB, Williams TM, Doak DF, Danner EM, Forney KA, Pfister B. 2003. Sequential megafaunal collapse in the North Pacific Ocean: an ongoing legacy of industrial whaling? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 100, 12223–12228. PDF
  • Elderd BD, Shahani P, Doak DF. 2003. The Problems and Potential of Count-Based Population Viability Analyses. In CA Brigham & MW Schwartz (Eds.), Population Viability in Plants (pp. 173–201). Springer. PDF
  • Doak DF, Marvier M. 2003. Predicting the Effects of Species Loss on Community Stability. In P Kareiva & S Levin (Eds.), The Importance of Species (pp. 140–160). Princeton University Press. PDF


  • Doak DF, Thomson D, Jules ES. 2002. Population Viability Analysis for Plants: Understanding the Demographic Consequences of Seed Banks for Population Health. In SR Beissinger & DR McCullough (Eds.), Population Viability Analysis (pp. 312–337). The University of Chicago Press. PDF
  • Doak DF. 2001. Review: The Long-Awaited Sourcebook Arrives. Conservation Biology 15, 1825–1826. PDF
  • Harding EK, Doak DF, Albertson JD. 2001. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Predator Control: the Non‐Native Red Fox as a Case Study. Conservation Biology 15, 1114–1122. PDF
  • Crone EE, Doak D, Pokki J. 2001. Ecological influences on the dynamics of a field vole metapopulation. Ecology 82, 831–843. PDF
  • Monson DH, Doak DF, Ballachey BE, Johnson A, Bodkin JL. 2000. Long-term impacts of the Exxon Valdez oil spill on sea otters, assessed through age-dependent mortality patterns. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 97, 6562–6567. PDF
  • Morris WF, Doak DF, Groom M, Kareiva P. 1999. A practical handbook for population viability analysis (pp. 1–141). The Nature Conservancy. PDF
  • Mills LS, Doak DF, Wisdom MJ. 1999. Reliability of conservation actions based on elasticity analysis of matrix models. Conservation Biology 13, 815–829. PDF
  • Kluse J, Doak DF. 1999. Demographic performance of a rare California endemic, Chorizanthe pungens var. hartwegiana (Polygonaceae). The American Midland Naturalist 142, 244–256. PDF
  • Doak DF, Morris W. 1999. Detecting population-level consequences of ongoing environmental change without long-term monitoring. Ecology 80, 1537–1551. PDF
  • Morris WF, Doak DF. 1998. Life history of the long-lived gynodioecious cushion plant Silene acaulis (Caryophyllaceae), inferred from size-based population projection matrices. American Journal of Botany 85, 784–784. PDF
  • Doak DF, Bigger D, Harding EK, Marvier MA, O'Malley RE, Thomson D. 1998. The Statistical Inevitability of Stability‐Diversity Relationships in Community Ecology. The American Naturalist 151, 264–276. PDF
  • Estes JA, Tinker MT, Williams TM, Doak DF. 1998. Killer whale predation on sea otters linking oceanic and nearshore ecosystems. Science 282, 473–476. PDF
  • Crooks KR, Sanjayan MA, Doak DF. 1998. New insights on cheetah conservation through demographic modeling. Conservation Biology 12, 889–895. PDF
  • Estes JA, Doak DF, Bodkin JR, Jameson RJ, Monson DH, Tinker MT. 1996. Comparative Demography of Sea Otter Populations. Endangered Species UPDATE 13, 11–13. PDF
  • Doak DF. 1995. Source‐sink models and the problem of habitat degradation: general models and applications to the Yellowstone grizzly. Conservation Biology 9, 1370–1379. PDF
  • Doak DF, Mills LS. 1994. A useful role for theory in conservation. Ecology 75, 615–626. PDF
  • Doak DF, Kareiva P, Klepetka B. 1994. Modeling population viability for the desert tortoise in the western Mojave Desert. Ecological Applications 4, 446–460. PDF
  • Mills LS, Soule ME, Doak DF. 1993. The Keystone-Species Concept in Ecology and Conservation. BioScience 43, 219–224. PDF
  • Harrison S, Stahl A, Doak DF. 1993. Spatial models and spotted owls: exploring some biological issues behind recent events. Conservation Biology 7, 950–953. PDF
  • Doak DF. 1992. Lifetime impacts of herbivory for a perennial plant. Ecology 73, 2086–2099. PDF
  • Doak DF. 1991. The consequences of herbivory for dwarf fireweed: Different time scales, different morphologial scales. Ecology 72, 1397–1407. PDF
  • Doak DF. 1989. Spotted owls and old growth logging in the Pacific Northwest. Conservation Biology 3, 389-396. PDF